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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen10-20 min dailyHalf dayHalf day
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten13-83-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesValue Chain Map, Lever ListStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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