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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen10-20 min daily1-4 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten13-83-10
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action PlanFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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