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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 10-20 min daily | 1-5 Tage | 45-75 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1 | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision | Test Matrix, Test Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions |