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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 10-20 min daily | 30-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1 | 1-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | DecisionTreeOptions | StrategyAnalysisPlanning |