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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighLowLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-4 Wochen20-35 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-61-51-5
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryTest Card with a pre-set thresholdCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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