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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen15-30 min15-60 min je Zyklus1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-61-83-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
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