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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile 4Ls Retrospective |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a sprint should not only be assessed but also learned from, it captures experience in clear learning categories. It records what worked, what's missing, and what should run differently next time. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45–75 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Team members involved | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | 4Ls Board, Learning Themes, Improvement Actions | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RetrospectiveLearningReflectionTeam | EstimationExpertsForecasting | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |