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Criterion
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min20-35 min45-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-61-52-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListTest Card with a pre-set thresholdAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
DecisionTreeOptions
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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