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Criterion
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Purposedifferent
For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min15-45 min30-90 min60-180 min
Participantsdifferent
1-61-81-104-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes
Tagsno overlap
DecisionTreeOptions
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
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