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Criterion
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration of Lean Startup with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Lean Startup
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 minWochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus20–45 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-62-8Small cross-functional group2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListHypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decisionRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
DecisionTreeOptions
LeanStartupValidationMVP
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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