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Criterion
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
30-90 min2-4 h45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-63-83-126-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
DecisionTreeOptions
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
ChangeDecisionStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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