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Criterion
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min45-90 min1-5 Tage1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
1-62-8Nutzertraffic2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
DecisionTreeOptions
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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