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| Criterion |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Decision Making Red Teaming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 60-180 min | 45-60 min | 30-60 min | 1-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-20 | 2-8 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | RiskDecisionSensemaking |