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Criterion
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
HighMedium
Timedifferent
2-6 h15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Theory of Constraints Thinking Process.
Systems Thinking
Theory of Constraints Thinking Process
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation