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Criterion
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighHighMedium
Timedifferent
2-6 h2-4 h2-6 h2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-83-83-102-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Root causeSafetyIncident
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