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Criterion
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
2-6 h45-60 min2-6 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-82-83-101-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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