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Criterion
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h45-60 min1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-82-81-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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