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Criterion
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
90-180 min20–45 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group2-62-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
CoD Table, Prioritization SequenceRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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