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| Criterion |  Knowledge Modeling Concept Mapping |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-2 h | 10-30 min je Item | 30-90 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 1-10 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Concept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge Gaps | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |