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Criterion
ChatOps workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
ChatOps
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
For operational work in a distributed team, the method links communication with direct system control. It records decisions right where the signal, the context, and the execution come together.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
Ongoing10-30 min je Item60-120 min15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-201-82-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Chat Transcript, Action Log, AutomationsThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
CollaborationEngineeringIncident
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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