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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-120 min20–45 min2-4 h45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-6Small cross-functional group2-62-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Root causeSafetyIncident
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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