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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min15-45 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
2-61-82-62-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsFamily Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic
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