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| Criterion |  Operations Change Analysis |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-120 min | 15-45 min | 1-4 Wochen | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 2-6 | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action List | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |