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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
45-120 min45-90 min2-8 h45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-61-62-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListLean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment BacklogProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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