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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min2-6 h60-120 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-63-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
RiskRoot causeSafety
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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