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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-120 min60-120 min45-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-62-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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