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Criterion
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min1-4 Wochen45-60 min15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
2-66-30 Experten2-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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