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| Criterion |  Operations Change Analysis |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-120 min | 45-90 min | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-6 | 2-8 | 4-10 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action List | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |