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Criterion
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
2-6 h1-4 Wochen2-4 h2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-106-30 Experten2-62-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Event Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesFamily Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic MeasuresBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic
Root causeSafetyIncident
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