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Criterion
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
2-6 h1-4 Wochen1-2 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-106-30 Experten2-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Event Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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