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Criterion
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h45-60 min1-5 Tage15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
3-102-8Nutzertraffic2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Event Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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