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Criterion
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
Half day45-90 min1-2 h Setup, laufend45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-82-82-62-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Stress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanOpportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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