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Criterion
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHighMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min2-4 h1-4 Wochen30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-123-86-30 Experten3-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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