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Criterion
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-126-30 Experten2-83-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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