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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20-45 min | 1-5 Tage | 45-60 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |