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Criterion
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
20-45 min30-60 min45-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
1-102-102-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsIceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention IdeasAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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