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Criterion
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
20-45 min30-90 min45-60 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
1-102-82-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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