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Criterion
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
20-45 min45-90 min25-40 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-102-81-52-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanLearning Card with evidence and next actionAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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