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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | Half day | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | EstimationExpertsForecasting | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |