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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Weekly Review.
Operations
Weekly Review
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In a week with many open loops, the method creates distance from operational noise. It organizes commitments, calendar, and projects so the next week becomes workable.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitysame
LowLowLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min30-60 min20–45 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
2-81Small cross-functional group1
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanUpdated Task System, Weekly Focus, Next ActionsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ProductivityExecutionPlanning
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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