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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  UX Research User Interviews |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When teams derive needs only from assumptions and real motives are missing, user interviews give direct access to behavior and meaning. Conversations from the target group's everyday life make patterns, tensions, and open questions solidly visible. | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 30–60 min per interview | 1-4 h | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1 participant per interview | 3-8 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Interview Notes, Themes, Insight Summary | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | QualitativeResearchCustomerDiscovery | RiskDecisionSensemaking | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |