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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min20-35 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-81-52-62-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanTest Card with a pre-set thresholdPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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