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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min20-35 min1-5 Tage1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-81-5Nutzertraffic2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanTest Card with a pre-set thresholdClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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