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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 20-35 min | 30-90 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-12 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |