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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing | ![]() Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation | ![]() Product Discovery Experiment Canvas | ![]() Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 30-60 min | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |



