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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Planning Poker.
Agile
Planning Poker
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min2-5 min je Item45-60 min25-40 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-92-81-5
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanRelative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split CandidatesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingLearning Card with evidence and next action
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
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