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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-2 h Setup, laufend1-2 Wochen pro Iteration1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-82-62-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanOpportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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