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Selected:Assumption SurfacingOpportunity Solution TreeHypothesis Prioritization CanvasAssumption Mapping
| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 60-90 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |