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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 minlaufend25-40 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-82-121-5Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesLearning Card with evidence and next actionClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationForecastingFlow
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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