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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Agile NoEstimates |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |  Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | laufend | 30-60 min | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | EstimationForecastingFlow | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |